Month 8, Day 24: Pulling Out All The Stops

I figured I’d make one last plug for world peace before I go back to chastising the news media for ignoring climate change.

Dear President Obama,

By substantially altering the nature of the world’s climate, humanity has created and entered the Anthropocene Epoch. Indications for the long-term survival of our species in this eponymous age are less and less favorable.

The short-term effect of global climate change is of course to create ever more chaotic and damaging weather patterns — leading to devastating events like Pakistan’s floods and Russia’s fires. While it’s impossible to say that a specific calamity was specifically triggered by climate change, the greenhouse effect is predicted to increase extreme weather exactly the way it’s happening today.

The short-term effect is disaster, deprivation, and misery. A longer-term effect is the likelihood of political instability. Resource wars brought about through weather-induced food shortages; water wars catalyzed by droughts; governments toppled because of a failure to respond appropriately to a climate catastrophe…these are among the “coming attractions” for our species.

Unless we act thoughtfully and carefully to head them off.
The U.S.A. must set an example to the world by enacting strong climate legislation, rewarding organizations and individuals who make important contributions to reducing greenhouse gases, and investing heavily in renewable energy systems. If America is to be a world leader, we must lead, not wait for China and India to get their houses in order, as some of the procrastinators in the Senate would have us do.

But this is only the beginning. We (and the rest of the world) must gaze unflinchingly at what’s going to be coming at us over the next centuries, and make plans for how we will cope with a global increase in droughts, fires, storms, blizzards, floods and famines. Can humanity unite in the face of a common enemy? If humanity is to survive climate chaos, we can no longer afford war.

Never has the case for world peace been of such urgency.

Yours Sincerely,

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 23: Last Night I Had The Strangest Dream

I’ve never written to Ban ki-Moon before. His statements about climate change make it pretty clear that he gets it in a way that hardly any American politicians do.

It was extremely difficult to find any useful contact address. The UN has a generic email submission page which I finally used…but I’m going to try and get something more substantial once they open for business tomorrow.

SUBJECT:

Please forward to the Secretary General – RE: Geopolitical Implications of Climate Change

Dear Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon,
Your recent words about the disaster in Pakistan show that you are one of the few public figures who is willing to recognize climate change as one of the primary causal forces behind that country’s devastating floods. It is evident to any thinking observer that a steady increase in extreme weather events (as predicted for decades by climatologists) will lead to dramatic changes in the structuring foreign policy.

Humanity can go in two directions. The nations of the world can join together to develop strategies for resource allotment and the deployment of infrastructure as needed to combat the devastating effects of short-term weather events (thereby preventing food and water wars, or other political manifestations of climatic emergency) — or they can continue on the path of what the economist Naomi Klein aptly terms “disaster capitalism,” in which any crisis is used as an opportunity for exploitation and the curtailment of human liberties.

The first path will lead to our survival as a species, the second inevitably to our doom.

We have often wondered: if humanity could find a common adversary, could old national rivalries be set aside? In that respect, the climate crisis offers us an opportunity to transform our ways of thinking about ourselves as a species and our role on the planet. What is happening to Pakistan today could happen to one of the world’s wealthiest nations next week; the transformed climate does not play favorites in the long run.

This is the first time that humanity has faced a planet-sized enemy, an enemy that cannot be defeated by force of arms or by political maneuverings. We have created this threat ourselves, and to defeat it we must change ourselves at a deep level.

We can no longer waste time and treasure on the destructive distractions of war; there is a greater enemy to overcome.

Yours Sincerely,

Warren Senders

From the Vault: The Antigravity String Band, 1981

Around 1980, I worked out the fingering for a guitar arrangement of multiple parts of the Agbekor drum rhythms which I’d been studying with David Locke. The arrangement I came up with had the Totodzi part in the thumb, the Kagan part in the index finger, and the Gankogui (bell) part in the middle and ring fingers. I messed around with it for a while as a way of internalizing the relationship of the three parts, but never found a chordal structure that seemed satisfactory.

Then one day I was fiddling around with a DADF#AD open tuning, and discovered that the I-IV-I-V progression that manifested so often in group arrangements of Shona music (like Dumisani Maraire’s marimba ensembles) fell naturally under the fingers.

There were some other people in the Agbekor ensemble at the time who played stringed instruments, including Dee Wood (known at the time as “Dogwood”), my brother Stefan, Michelle Kisliuk and Anne Goodwin, and we began experimenting together with multi-instrument versions of the piece. I shifted to bass, and it started to turn into something delightful. Soon after that, we added the fiddle playing of Eddie Parente (known at the time as “Skip”), and we did a few concerts together, presenting our version of the Agbekor rhythms/Shona harmony along with some other pieces we threw together. Skip was a wonderful violinist who brought a beautiful sound to the group, and I was sorry to see him move on after a few months; he got offered a fabulous gig with a major Irish band and would have been a fool not to take it.

Here are a few recordings from our first concert, in May of 1981 at Studio Red Top in downtown Boston. We put together a 45-minute set that included two “Shona-ized” Ghanaian dance rhythms, Dee Wood’s nice arrangement of Abdullah Ibrahim’s piano piece “Tokai,” an Afghani melody called “Lover’s Desire” that I learned from an old lp by the Human Arts Ensemble, and my original composition “Night Melody.” The audience loved us. Loooooved us. That was rare for me; most of my performance ensembles were greeted with desultory applause and phrases like, “Gee, Warren, that was interesting.”

But I digress.

We led off with “Lover’s Desire.” I had threaded paper through the strings of my bass to give a buzzing sound.

The African adaptation that started it all, which we called “Shona Agbekor.” In rehearsal we would sometimes play this for an hour without stopping. Fun.

My original composition “Night Melody.” The scale is that of raga Malkauns, but the ensemble organization was inspired by recordings of Sundanese music which I’d been enjoying.

Abdullah Ibrahim’s “Tokai,” in Dee Wood’s beautiful arrangement — like a chorus of stringed instruments.

“Gahu” was the other African theme we developed…a real dance-party piece.

The band went through some personnel changes in the months after this concert, but continued to gig regularly for the next several years. I’ll be posting more of those recordings in the weeks to come.

Enjoy.

Month 8, Day 22: Imagine…

I figured I’d push the Pakistan/post-climate-change-foreign-policy angle a few more times, and found a suitable article in the NYT to hang it on. This one came out rather well, I think. In any event, I relish any opportunity to use the word “epiphenomena.”

Post-flood Pakistan will not only be a nation full of shattered lives and human misery. It will also be an opportunity for the world to demonstrate a new approach to foreign policy that takes into account the reality of anthropogenic climate chaos. For twenty-five years, climatologists have predicted that the greenhouse effect would lead to ever more erratic and freakish weather; it’s finally here, and it’s going to get worse before it gets better.

Which means that more of the world’s nations will be battered by climatic forces beyond their control. More heatwaves, droughts, massive floods, blizzards, storms — leading to more human misery and political instability. If we as a species are to survive in our self-created Anthropocene epoch, nations must learn to share resources and infrastructure against this common enemy. In an age of climate chaos, war and its profitable epiphenomena are luxuries we can no longer afford.

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 21: Time To Speak Truth

Figured I’d continue on the theme outlined yesterday and write to Hillary Clinton.

Dear Secretary Clinton,

It is obvious that the United States’ foreign policy in South Asia is going to be significantly affected by the catastrophic flooding in Pakistan. This will be the first case of important policy alternations being brought about by the effects of climate change, but it is assuredly not the last.

Twenty-five years ago, climatologists begin predicting that increased atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases would lead to dramatic changes in weather pattern across the globe; they anticipated more storms, more floods, more heat waves, more blizzards, more droughts. Now, despite the frantic protestations of the deniers in the U.S. Senate and their enablers in our country’s mass media, those predictions are coming true.

Climate chaos is going to get worse over the next decades, and the current policy paradigm will soon be hopelessly out of date. Either the nations of the world will be able to agree on a strategy for collective adaptation to the destructive effects of climate change — or we are going to see resource wars that will multiply the current level of global misery a thousandfold.

As Secretary of State, it is crucial that you make this point loud and clear in your public statements. Climate change isn’t going to start happening sometime in the future; it’s making its effects felt right now — in the drowning provinces of Pakistan, in the burning peat-bogs of drought-ridden Russia, and in hundreds of other places around the globe. Our news media is unable or unwilling to make the connection; they must be prodded into recognizing the magnitude of the most significant existential threat our species has yet faced.

We need your help.

Yours Sincerely,

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 20: Time To Make Some Connections

Continuing on the theme of political upheaval in Pakistan in the aftermath of the flood, the New York Times had a good analysis (which naturally didn’t mention climate change). I started out reading the article thinking I’d write a standard admonitory letter, bla bla bla disgrace to the media bla bla bla well-informed citizenry bla bla bla.

Then I saw that Kerry was headed over there, and tonight’s letter formed itself.

The UN Development Programme’s statistics on CO2 as a proportion of world population are available here, and are well worth a look.

Dear Senator Kerry –

We learn that the catastrophic flooding in Pakistan is going to have drastic and unpredictable consequences for America’s own foreign policy in the region. The shape of our aid to Pakistan is certainly going to be profoundly transformed. I was glad to hear that you are headed there to assess the situation, for your experience in foreign affairs is invaluable.

It is a tragic coincidence that the disaster in Pakistan should also intersect with another policy area in which you have great knowledge and expertise — climate change.

Pakistan’s inundation, like New York’s heat wave, Russia’s drought, and Washington’s blizzard, is part of our new post-Industrial weather pattern — climate chaos.

Climate chaos was predicted twenty-five years ago and climatologists have been affirming and substantiating their predictions ever since. We’re just getting the first taste of it now, and even if we had taken decisive action in this Congress, climate chaos is going to get worse before it gets a lot better.

As you know.

Please use your public statements on the subject of Pakistan to make the point that the region’s political instability and upheaval is a diplomatic consequence of climate change. Please use your statements on the Senate floor to make the point crystal clear to your colleagues.

Even as America mobilizes to do its very best to alleviate Pakistan’s climatic miseries, we must focus on the conditions that gave rise to them.

The proportion of a nation’s CO2 emissions to its share of world population is a useful measure. America’s is five times greater. Pakistan’s is one-fifth. We put enormous quantities of CO2 into the atmosphere; Pakistan’s contribution, by contrast, amounts to a rounding error. In other words, Pakistanis didn’t create the climate chaos that is now destroying their country. We did.

Weather-triggered political instability is a predictable consequence of climate change, and yet another reason that quick and robust legislative action must be taken.

Yours Sincerely,

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 19: Deeper and Dire

I can’t believe I’ve never written to the New York Post before. Their columnist Ralph Peters raises the possibility that the floods may bring about the downfall of the Zardari government. Maybe. Needless to say, the idea that anthropogenic climate change is somehow implicated in this catastrophe is absolutely out of the question. BTW, the comments on Peters’ article are absolutely horrific. My favorite is this one:

beatitdems

08/18/2010 5:52 AM

35 Million Refugees Drowning in Pakistan is surely a tragedy that tears at the Human Heart , MR. Peters . And we all rush to their aid , and pray for their relief . The closest parallel that comes to mind , are the Millions of Americans who are drowning now , right here in America under the flood of taxes and the inept leadership of a Communist Dictatorship led by Barack Hussein Obama .

Unbelievable. Just unbelievable.

Anyway, here’s my letter:

As Ralph Peters suggests, Pakistani extremists may tout the torrential rains as a judgment from on high. He comments, “Sound incredible? Look at some of the things educated Americans believe.” Indeed.   For example, even as New York fries, Russia dries, and Pakistan drowns, many educated Americans believe that global warming is a fraud and a hoax — despite the fact that climate scientists predicted all of these phenomena in the mid-1980s.  Zardari’s regime may be the first governmental casualty of climate change; it is unlikely to be the last. The fact that the phrase “global warming” appears nowhere in his article is a sad indictment of a news media that has abdicated its responsibilities. But as Peters points out, “People believe what comforts them and what feeds their rage.” It’s easier to believe in an international scientific conspiracy than it is to face the facts and act on them.

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 18: Will Rupert Murdoch Give A Million Dollars To Pakistan?

Incredibly tired. The New York Daily News had an article about Pakistan’s misery, so I used my LTE template to save time.

Good night, all.

As devastating floods hammer Pakistan, it’s easy to dismiss both the extreme weather and the twenty million people whose lives have been shattered from our minds. After all, Pakistan is a long way off. But their extreme weather is a manifestation of the same complex set of phenomena that gave New York its most recent heat wave: anthropogenic global warming. If we as a nation are to undertake meaningful action on behalf of the planetary systems that sustain us, we must ensure that our citizenry is genuinely informed about these issues, no matter how complex or daunting they may seem. The fact that the phrase “climate change” does not appear at all in an article on Pakistan’s misery is a demonstration of how poorly our news media handle the most important threat humanity has ever faced.

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 17: Pronounced Wuh-stuh!

I didn’t feel very passionate today.

Our candidates for Governor had a debate. The Worcester Telegram had an article about it.

That the gubernatorial debate included questions on global warming is a positive reflection on the quality of electoral politics in Massachusetts. Too many politicians at both state and national levels are unable to take a clear position on a matter where public opinion polls reflect a distressing ignorance of unequivocal scientific evidence. Conversely, Cahill and Baker’s unwillingness to agree that humans are to blame for global climate change is a negative reflection on the Republican party, which has made climate denialism a central plank of its policy structure. But the facts are in: human activities are responsible for the changing climate, and our generation must begin paying the bill for the past century’s profligate waste of the planet’s fossil fuel resources. Massachusetts needs more mass transit; it needs more renewable energy; it needs more attention paid to conservation — and it needs politicians who are ready to recognize scientific reality.

Warren Senders

Month 8, Day 16: Filibusted

Figured I’d write to Kerry and whine about the filibuster.

Dear Senator Kerry,

On the assumption that the upcoming November elections will preserve the Democratic majority in the Senate, I am writing to ask you to speak as powerfully as possible on behalf of filibuster reform. The shelving of critical climate legislation has been a bitter pill to swallow for any of us who are concerned about the looming climate crisis. At the moment when it seemed we might possibly be able to make headway against Republican obstructionism, the problems involved in assembling the sixty votes required for cloture effectively doomed any hope for a meaningful bill. This is not how the Senate is supposed to work.

The behavior of Senate Republicans and a few conservative Democrats has left the United States in a deplorable position: as billions of people around the world face an uncertain future due to the ravages of climate change, a tiny group of rich and powerful men and women hold the power to stall any action. This is not how the Senate is supposed to work.

Even for bills that are broadly popular, a single senator from a state with a population less than that of Massachusetts’ capitol can effectively stymie forward motion — until special provisions, concessions or earmarks are inserted. A single senator can place an anonymous hold on legislation without giving any reason whatever, again halting forward motion. This is not how the Senate is supposed to work.

It should be no surprise that Congress’ approval ratings are low, for voters see that there is no political will to get things done; there is only a will to procrastinate….and procrastination is not a characteristic we expect in our leaders or our representatives. This is not how the Senate is supposed to work.

I am a lifelong Democrat and a fervent environmentalist. I believe deeply in the potential of our system of government. But right now, America’s Senate is completely dysfunctional. The Senate is supposed to work — and it doesn’t.

Please advocate forcefully for filibuster reform. The Senate needs to get to work. We cannot survive another legislative session of delaying tactics.

Yours Sincerely,

Warren Senders